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How much do LLM tokens and GPU hardware cost in 2026? Historical evolution, per-model comparison, and an on-premise vs cloud profitability calculator for industrial mid-caps.
Prix moyen des tokens en sortie (tier flagship) depuis le lancement de GPT-4 en mars 2023. La tendance historique montre une division par 2 chaque annee. La projection suppose que cette deflation continue.
Calculateur de rentabilite on-premise
Hypothese : Claude Sonnet 4 output ($15/M tokens), 250 jours/an, electricite locale ~50 EUR/mois, hardware Mac Mini M4 Pro 1 800 EUR.
- Les prix des tokens baissent d'environ 50 % par an depuis 2023.
- L'ecart entre tier "flagship" et tier "economique" est un facteur 10 a 20x.
- Pour les volumes industriels (> 100 requetes/jour), le break-even on-premise est souvent < 6 mois.
- Les GPU cloud (RunPod, Lambda Labs) offrent un bon compromis pour le fine-tuning ponctuel.
- Ne dimensionnez pas un budget 2027 sur les prix 2026 — ils auront baisse.
Methodology
Token prices come from official vendor pricing pages (Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, Mistral). GPU prices are pulled from e-tailers and cloud hosting pricing pages (RunPod, Lambda Labs).
The price-decline projection (-50%/year) is based on the observed trend from March 2023 to April 2026, during which the flagship output-token price went from $60/M to $10-15/M. This extrapolation is not a guarantee — it assumes competition and efficiency gains continue at the same pace.
The profitability calculator uses simplified assumptions (250 days/year, flat-rate electricity). For accurate sizing for your site, contact us.
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